2023 NFL Mock Draft – Week 16 – With Analysis

Draft order courtesy of http://www.tankathon.com.

Pick Team Player Stats Commentary
1 570 QB Bryce Young, Alabama – 6’0, 194 lbs 230-359, 3007 yards, 27 TD, 5 INT The Texans are a long, long way from competing, and might prefer to build up the team before committing to a quarterback. However, other than Will Anderson Jr., there really is not a dynamic prospect worth taking here. If Bryce Young was two inches taller and 20 pounds heavier, this would be an absolute no-brainer. His slight frame is a definite worry, but he offers the best mix of arm strength, accuracy, improvisation and experience amongst any quarterback prospects. Houston fans need someone to get excited about.
2 364 EDGE Will Anderson Jr., Alabama – 6’4, 243 lbs 51 tackles, 10 sacks, 1 INT Unlike a lot of terrible teams, the Bears at least have their quarterback in place. It is the rest of the roster that is in shambles. Will Anderson Jr. would be an easy choice here. He is the best prospect in this class. More than just a pass rusher, he is a complete defender who should excel in any scheme. The Bears traded Robert Quinn, Roquan Smith and Khalil Mack away and do not have much in the way of impact defenders.
3 pfiobtreaq7j0pzvadktsc6jv DT Jalen Carter, Georgia – 6’3, 300 lbs 29 tackles, 3 sacks From DEN
The Seahawks get a gift of a top five pick from the hapless Broncos. Quarterback could be in play here if they fall in love with a guy, but right now I think they tag Geno Smith and go another direction.. Jalen Carter’s numbers do not jump out at you, but it cannot be understated how much of an impact he has for the entire Georgia defense. He is the most talented interior lineman to come along since Quinnen Williams and will help improve a dreadful Seattle front four.
4 17013982017 QB CJ Stroud, Ohio State – 6’3, 218 lbs 235-355, 3340 yards, 37 TD, 6 INT From LAR
Jared Goff is solid enough that the Lions do not have to go quarterback at all costs here, but thanks to a Rams team that sold their soul to the crossroads demon for a Super Bowl championship, Detroit has the ultimate luxury here. Sure, CJ Stroud plays with a ton of NFL talent, but all he has done as a starter is thrown for almost 8,000 yards and 80 touchdowns. The nitpicks are already coming in hot and heavy, but I think taking Will Levis or Anthony Richardson over Stroud would be a monumentous mistake.
5 kwth8f1cfa2sch5xhjjfaof90 DE Myles Murphy, Clemson – 6’5, 275 lbs 40 tackles, 6.5 sacks Remember at one point last year when the Cardinals had the best record in the NFL? That seems like ages ago. This franchise is a mess, and they need a shakeup on the coaching staff and on the field. Best player available is the way to go here. Myles Murphy is not the athletic freak that a Chase Young or Nick Bosa is, but he is a very reliable run defender and pass rusher with a high floor.
6 593 QB Will Levis, Kentucky – 6’3, 232 lbs 185-283, 2406 yards, 19 TD, 10 INT I am not a Will Levis fan.  He is already 23, has not shown up in big games this year and is undisciplined. But you cannot underestimate the desperation of some NFL teams, the Colts at the top of the list. The owner basically said he is tired of retread projects and I am convinced he called Jeff Saturday at halftime of the Colts vs. Vikings game to tell him he is fired if they don’t tank that game. They will hope they can unlock something with Levis, who does have a cannon arm and a projectable frame, if little else.
7 299 CB Kelee Ringo, Georgia – 6’2, 210 lbs 36 tackles, 2 INT The Falcons have played hard all season, but a lack of talent finally caught up to them. This team needs to go best player available, since they are as talent starved as any roster in the NFL. Kelee Ringo has great size and a real nose for the ball. The Georgia defense is an NFL pipeline, and Ringo has the look of a great CB1.
8 f1wggq2k8ql88fe33jzhw641u QB Anthony Richardson, Florida – 6’4, 232 lbs 176-327, 2549 yards, 17 TD, 9 INT Will Levis and Anthony Richardson as top ten picks is crazy to me, but like I said before, if you do not have a quarterback in this league, you just cannot win. The Panthers absolutely need to sell out in this draft in order to land one of these guys. Based on pure talent, Richardson is the top of this class. He is built like Cam Newton and is a true dual threat. He also greatly improved his accuracy and decision making as the year went on. An ultimate wild card to be sure, but a swing the Carolina needs to take.
9 960 DE Tyree Wilson, Texas Tech – 6’6, 275 lbs 61 tackles, 7 sacks From NO
The 13-1 Eagles, unsurprisingly, do not have a ton of needs, but most of their defensive ends are upcoming free agents, so that is an obvious position to attack. Tyree Wilson has been a late bloomer who really started to produce as a redshirt junior and has carried that over as a fifth year senior. He is a good pass rusher and is also built strong enough to hold up against a run. Maybe not a superstar talent, but should be a long time starter in Philadelphia.
10 670885212020 OT Paris Johnson Jr., Ohio State – 6’6, 310 lbs N/A I am a huge Paris Johnson Jr. fan. He is a former top recruit who worked his way into the starting lineup as a sophomore, not an easy task on a team full of NFL prospects. He has anchored one of the top passing attacks in college as a junior. He could go as high as number three overall, so this is obviously great value for a Raiders team that needs to continue to overhaul a weak offensive line.
11 15988562013 OT Peter Skoronski, Northwestern – 6’4, 315 lbs N/A Northwestern had an absolutely miserable 2022 season, but that was not Peter Skoronski’s fault. He earned spectacular offensive line grades from all analysts. There are questions as to whether he is a tackle or guard long term, but either way, he is a beast, especially in the run game. He would be an upgrade at either tackle spot in Jacksonville.
12 570 TE Michael Mayer, Notre Dame – 6’4, 265 lbs 67 rec, 809 yards, 9 TD From CLE
The Texans need to go best player available for every pick in this draft. Drafting tight ends in the first round is always risky, but Michael Mayer would be a great fit. He is not a supreme athlete like Kyle Pitts or TJ Hockenson, but represents tremendous value here. He is a reception hog who would be a great safety net for new quarterback Bryce Young.
13 970 CB Christian Gonzalez, Oregon – 6’2, 201 lbs 51 tackles, 4 INT Pittsburgh needs to lean on their defense until the quarterback situation sorts itself out. Christian Gonzalez escaped college football purgatory by leaving Colorado for Oregon, and has worked himself squarely into the first round. He is a solid tackler with great size and a real knack for the ball. He would instantly be the best cornerback on the Steelers roster.
14 dcy03myfhffbki5d7il3 WR Quentin Johnston, TCU – 6’4, 215 lbs 53 rec, 903 yards, 5 TD What a disastrous season it has been for the Green Bay Packers. Who knows what the 2023 team will look like, but a WR trio of Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs and Quentin Johnston would be a great start. Johnston is a TD machine with a huge catch radius, and enough speed to keep defenses honest.
15 pfiobtreaq7j0pzvadktsc6jv EDGE Felix Anduike-Uzomah – 6’4, 255 lbs 44 tackles, 8.5 sacks The Seahawks need to go defense early and often in the 2023 draft. Felix Anduike-Uzomah is a bit one dimensional right now, and might be a slight reach in the top fifteen, but he is athletic and can really get after the quarterback. With Jalen Carter and Anduike-Uzomah, Seattle’s front seven could quickly become a strength.
16 y71myf8mlwlk8lbgagh3fd5e0 OT Broderick Jones, Georgia – 6’4, 310 lbs N/A It is always tough to mock for the Patriots because they seem to use dart throws or names in a hat when it comes to drafting players. Tyquan Thornton in the second round? Oof. Theoretically, offensive line is a position that they need to continue to attack. Broderick Jones could use another year at Georgia, but he is very talented and offers strong position versatility.
17 15291162019 OG O’Cyrus Torrence, Florida – 6’5, 347 lbs N/A It is no secret that the offensive line is the weakest position on the Jets roster. O’Cyrus Torrence is a guard only, so he will not solve the tackle issues, but he is a beast in the run game and a real plug-and-play option.
18 17013982017 DT Tuli Tuipulotu, USC – 6’4, 290 lbs 44 tackles, 12.5 sacks The Lions took a quarterback with their first pick, but should go defense for the rest of this imaginary draft. Tuli Tuipulotu leads all of college football with 12.5 sacks. He would be an absolutely perfect fit at end in Detroit’s hybrid defense. With Tuipulotu and Aidan Hutchinson getting after the quarterback, that should help Detroit’s porous defense as a whole.
19 17683632020 OLB Trenton Simpson, Clemson – 6’3, 240 lbs 73 tackles, 2.5 sacks I find it hard to believe that Tom Brady will sign up for antoher year of what is going on in Tampa, so who knows what this team will look like in 2023. Lavonte David is a free agent, so perhaps they will look for a replacement there. Trenton Simpson, like the rest of the Clemson defense, took a step back without Will Venables, but he remains a top ten talent in this class who can do a little bit of everything at the linebacker position.
20 1053 WR Jordan Addison, USC – 6’0, 175 lbs 59 rec, 875 yards, 8 TD The Titans are not great, but continue to take advantage of the worst division in football. Treylon Burks was a nice start, but they still need a lot more help at wideout and tight end. Jordan Addison is undersized, but a true playmaker in every sense of the word. His deep threat abilities would be a nice contrast to what Burks provides.
21 683260482022 CB Joey Porter Jr., Penn State – 6’2, 198 lbs 27 tackles The Commanders may be the most surprising team in football. They are in playoff contention despite Chase Young missing the whole season and a secondary that gives up too many big plays. Joey Porter Jr. only has one career interception on his resume, but that does not always tell the full story. He is big, strong, tackles like a safety and is hardly tested.
22 644616602020 DT Gervon Dexter Sr., Florida – 6’6, 312 lbs 55 tackles, 2 sacks The Chargers have been an embarrassment against the run in 2022. Former first round pick Jerry Tillery was cut and there is not a lot to get excited about as far as defensive lineman go. Gervon Dexter Sr. looks the part of a stud tackle, but has struggled with consistency during his three years at Florida. Still, I love his size and ability to be a three down defensive tackle at the next level.
23 919 WR Rashee Rice, SMU – 6’2, 203 lbs 96 rec, 1355 yards, 10 TD It is no secret that the Giants passing offense is being held together by duct tape this year. This team needs several new receivers. Rashee Rice might have been the most productive receiver in college football. He played in a pro-style offense, has great size and enough speed to get the job done.
24 318 OT Jaelyn Duncan, Maryland – 6’6, 320 lbs N/A The Ravens need to fix an aging offensive line. Jaelyn Duncan is not flashy, but he is experienced and solid, and could be a plug and play type for a playoff team needing an extra boost at tackle.
25 9ebzja2zfeigaziee8y605aqp EDGE Drew Sanders, Arkansas – 6’5, 232 lbs 103 tackles, 9.5 sacks, 1 INT From SF
The Broncos traded cornerstones Von Miller and Bradley Chubb during the past two trading deadlines, making pass rushing an obvious need. Drew Sanders has been one of the most productive defenders in college football, showing the promise that made him a former five star recruit for Alabama.
26 406 DT Bryan Bresee, Clemson – 6’5, 305 lbs 13 tackles, 2.5 sacks Bryan Bresee was a monster as a freshman at Clemson, but has struggled with a variety of issues his past two years, and his stock as suffered as a result. Still, there was a reason he was formerly the top overall prospect in the country, and the gamble might be worth it for Dallas late in the first round.
27 15420492021 CB Cam Smith, South Carolina – 6’0, 188 lbs 27 tackles, 1 INT The Bengals are very solid on defense, but the secondary could use some reinforcements. Cam Smith plays bigger than his size and is a solid cover guy.
28 857 HB Bijan Robinson, Texas – 6’0, 220 lbs 258 rushes, 1580 yards, 18 TD Bijan Robinson is the most talented running back college football has seen since Saquon Barkley. It is hard to find a fit for running backs in mocks, however, especially one who has handled the rock 258 times already this season. Still, he has carried that often because he is damn good at it, averaging over 6 yards per carry. He is a great receiver as well, making him a true three down back. The Chiefs may be scared to draft another running back in the first round after the Clyde Edwards-Helaire experiement failed, but Robinson is just so talented. I cannot leave him out of the first round.
29 17227042013 DE Isaiah Foskey, Notre Dame – 6’5, 265 lbs 45 tackles, 11 sacks Pass rush is not the biggest need for Minnesota, but you can never have enough guys who can get after the quarterback. Isaiah Foskey gets by more on effort than talent, but that effort has delivered 22 sacks the past two seasons.
30 n0fd1z6xmhigb0eej3323ebwq HB Jahmyr Gibbs, Alabama – 5’11, 200 lbs 136 rushes, 850 yards, 7 TD If there is one team picking in the 20’s that I think should go all in on running back, it is the Bills. The offense is a dynamic threat in the backfield away from being truly special. Jahmyr Gibbs is like another receiver on the field, but has the ability to run between the tackles as well.
31 406 FS Antonio Johnson, Texas A&M – 6’3, 195 lbs 71 tackles, 1 sack The Eagles have one of the most complete rosters in the NFL, so this pick could be to fortify some depth in the secondary. Antonio Johnson is big, fast, a solid tackler and has experience at both safety and cornerback.

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